The China-Taiwan Conflict: Expert Perspectives on the Threat and Global Impact

How serious is the threat of an armed conflict between China and Taiwan, and what would be the global implications?

We asked several experts in political and economic fields to share their perspectives on this pressing question. This page brings together their unique insights, offering in-depth analyses on the likelihood of war, the economic consequences, and the broader geopolitical and cultural factors at play.

Currently, Pascal Coppens, a leading authority on China, provides his detailed assessment of the situation. As more speakers contribute, this page will continue to evolve, offering a comprehensive view of the China-Taiwan conflict and its potential global impact. Be sure to check back regularly for additional expert responses.

Pascal Coppens

Pascal Coppens is a renowned expert on China, known for his deep understanding of Chinese innovation, technology, and geopolitical strategy. With years of experience analyzing China’s economic and political landscape, he is a sought-after speaker for anyone looking to gain insight into the country’s future direction.

Pascal presents a measured analysis of the potential for an armed conflict between China and Taiwan. Contrary to much of the media narrative, Coppens argues that the threat of war is low, citing four key reasons:

• Economic Impact: The devastation from such a conflict would far outweigh any potential gains for China, setting back both China and the world by decades.
• Taiwan as Part of China: China already views Taiwan as part of its territory, and a war to claim it would be counterproductive, both economically and politically.
• Military Deterrence: China’s military exercises are primarily demonstrations of strength, rather than preparations for war. Taiwan offers the only practical stage to display military power without engaging in direct conflict.
• Cultural Ties: The deep cultural ties between China and Taiwan make an invasion unlikely, as attacking “family” is unthinkable from a cultural perspective.

While China is prepared for potential provocation, Coppens emphasizes that war is not their intent. Watch the video above for his full, detailed insights.