Scenario Planning & Strategic Foresight speakers
Speakers who help organisations anticipate uncertainty, stress-test assumptions and plan for multiple futures
Speakers Associates represents 255 speakers on Scenario Planning & Strategic Foresight, including Kemal Apaydin, Peter Fisk, Mark Stevenson, Olivier Sibony, Thimon de Jong, Lucy Bullivant, Rita McGrath, Katja Schipperheijn, Graeme Codrington and Dean van Leeuwen.
Most AI initiatives stall between the pilot and the operating line. Boards have approved spend, teams have shipped demos, and nothing in the actual product, process, or P&L has changed. The pressure now is to move from curiosity to deployed advantage, with governance that holds up to scrutiny and design choices that customers will actually use.
Most strategic plans assume next year will look like this year. They are built on linear assumptions about technology that has been advancing exponentially for decades. Investment cycles miss inflection points by years; budgets arrive late to capabilities already commoditising.
The rules governing trade, alliances, and international stability that executives have relied on for decades were designed for a different world. Power is now distributed across dozens of actors – state and non-state – with no single authority able to impose order or enforce commitments. Organisations that continue to plan as though the post-war settlement still holds are carrying strategic risk they cannot see.
Most organisations are not short of signals about technological change – they are short of a coherent way to read them. AI, robotics, quantum computing, and biotech are not arriving in sequence; they are arriving together, and their strategic implications compound. The real risk is not moving too slowly on one technology. It is misreading how several converging forces will combine to reshape a sector before the organisation has positioned itself to respond.
Strategy frameworks built for stable industries become a liability when markets are not. The assumption that the objective is to build and protect durable competitive advantage leads organisations to misread the early signals of their own erosion. The real problem is not disruption: it is the absence of a disciplined process for recognising when an advantage has peaked, and moving before the market forces a worse decision.
Most large organisations have an innovation function. Few have an innovation discipline. Pilots multiply, vanguard projects get presented at the offsite, and the operating business looks the same a year later. The hard question for the leadership team is no longer whether to innovate; it is what to industrialise, what to retire, and where the next source of growth actually comes from.
Most boards now have an AI strategy on paper and almost no honest read on which parts of it are real. The signals coming out of Silicon Valley are loud, contradictory, and shaped by people with money to raise. Leaders need someone who has watched this exact pattern repeat through the PC, the internet, the cloud, and now generative AI, and who will say plainly which bets are durable and which are theatre.
Climate commitments have outpaced the capital and operating decisions meant to deliver them. Boards face a widening gap between net zero language in the annual report and what their procurement, energy and supply teams actually do on Monday morning. Closing that gap requires a different kind of conviction at the top of the house, grounded in evidence of what renewable systems can actually do under pressure.
Leaders keep treating digital as a channel when it is now the substrate of their industry. The pattern is consistent: software, data and networks erode the unit economics of physical products, intermediaries and distribution before the incumbent sees the shift. By the time the financial impact lands, the strategic options have already narrowed.
The operating assumptions most organisations still use for strategic planning come from a more predictable century. Leaders are running multi-year capital plans, technology roadmaps and workforce strategies against scenarios that are now changing inside the planning cycle. The real discipline is no longer long-range forecasting; it is anticipation, antifragility and agility, and most leadership teams are not yet trained to reason that way.
Most organisations watch the same trend reports as their competitors and reach the same conclusions. The signals that actually move markets sit one layer deeper, in the cultural shifts and behavioural changes that have not yet been named. The cost of missing them is not a bad quarter, it is a flat decade.