Planificación de escenarios y previsión estratégica
Oradores que ayudan a las organizaciones a anticipar la incertidumbre, validar supuestos y planificar múltiples futuros
Speakers Associates represents 255 speakers on Planificación de escenarios y previsión estratégica, including Kemal Apaydin, Peter Fisk, Mark Stevenson, Olivier Sibony, Thimon de Jong, Lucy Bullivant, Rita McGrath, Katja Schipperheijn, Graeme Codrington y Dean van Leeuwen.
The hard question for senior leaders is no longer what generative AI does. It is what comes after: spatial computing, digital twins, autonomous machines, physical AI. Each arrives with a vendor narrative and a decision attached: where to invest, and which shifts actually reshape the business.
Boards now make commercial decisions inside a state-shaped landscape. Sanctions, export controls, AI rivalry and severed supply corridors are no longer background context, they are the terms on which growth, capital allocation and market access are negotiated. Most leadership teams have no internal capability to read these moves before they become balance-sheet events.
Most leadership teams know how to optimise the business they have. They are far less practised at building the one they will need. The gap between recognising change is coming and structuring an organisation to act on it is where most strategies stall.
Most organisations plan in three-to-five year cycles. The structural forces that actually reshape industries – demographic reordering, geopolitical power shifts, long-cycle economic transitions – operate on twenty-year timescales. The gap between those two horizons is where strategic miscalculation accumulates silently until it becomes a crisis.
Most strategic decisions fail not on execution but on framing – the problem being solved was the wrong one. Senior teams under pressure reach quickly for familiar options, cutting the analytical work that distinguishes a durable strategy from a plausible-sounding one. Then they announce the decision and wonder why implementation stalls: the people responsible for delivery were never part of the process.
Europe’s security architecture, energy policy and industrial strategy are now being redesigned around Ukraine, Russia and the future of the EU, and most corporate leaders are getting that picture second-hand. The people who can explain what is likely to happen next, and why, are usually the people who were in the room when the current architecture was built. Very few of them are accessible to private-sector audiences.
The gap between technology adoption and competitive advantage is widening, most organisations are rich in tools and poor in strategic clarity. Innovation programmes proliferate while the underlying strategy remains ambiguous. The investments that should be reshaping competitive position instead generate activity, cost, and noise.
Leadership teams rehearse crises far more often than they face them, and the gap between planned response and real behaviour under pressure is where most strategies come apart. Senior leaders need a clearer language for what actually happens when reserves run low, conditions change, and the plan stops working. That is a problem of judgement and margin, not of motivation.
Most organisations commit to products, propositions, and growth strategies before testing the assumptions those decisions rest on. The result is predictable: offerings that miss the market, business models that erode under competitive pressure, and strategy conversations that consume resource without resolution. The problem is not ambition. It is the absence of a shared, practical framework for designing and testing what the business is actually trying to deliver.
Most organisations say innovation is a priority. Most also have little to show for the resources they have poured into it. The problem is rarely a shortage of ideas. It is that the innovation industry itself – the workshops, the frameworks, the consultants – has trained leaders to perform innovation rather than practise it. Distinguishing between the two is harder than it sounds, and the cost of getting it wrong is institutional.
Leadership teams are making consequential AI decisions with tools they do not fully understand, on timelines that do not allow for reflection. The hard question is not which model to deploy. It is how to read the cultural and behavioural effects of AI inside the organisation before they calcify into strategy.
Most organisations can gather data on customer behaviour. Far fewer can explain why it is changing – or what it will demand of their brand in three years. Sociocultural shifts, from generational realignment to the psychological fallout of sustained economic pressure, are reshaping what customers trust, what employees expect, and what growth models can still hold. Organisations that mistake these shifts for short-term noise are making strategic decisions on a map that no longer matches the terrain.
All speakers on Planificación de escenarios y previsión estratégica
- Aaron Frank
- Abishur Prakash
- Adam Braun
- Adjiedj Bakas
- Albrecht Enders
- Aleksander Kwasniewski
- Alessandro Lanteri
- Alex Hibbert
- Alex Osterwalder
- Alf Rehn
- Ali Rebaie
- Aljan De Boer
- Alvaro Vargas Llosa
- Amy Webb
- Ana Palacio
- Anders Indset
Show all 255 speakers
- Andres Velasco
- Andrew Marr
- Andrew Roberts, Lord Roberts of Belgravia
- Angela Oguntala
- Anil Gupta
- Anna Rosling Rönnlund
- Anne Lise Kjaer
- Aric Dromi
- Arnaud Chevallier
- Arturo Bris
- Ayesha Khanna
- Beau Lotto
- Ben Hammersley
- Bernie Collins
- Bill Emmott
- Bob Woodward
- Brahma Chellaney
- Brett King
- Brian Cox
- Bronisław Komorowski
- Byron Reese
- Calum Chace
- Carl Bildt
- Carl Frey
- Carlo Cottarelli
- Carlos Cordon
- Carmen Reinhart
- Caspar Veldkamp
- Cate Trotter
- Chris Skinner
- Christian Kromme
- Christiana Figueres
- Dalia Marin
- Daniel Burrus
- David Daokui Li
- David Mattin
- David McWilliams
- David Roberts
- David Spiegelhalter
- David Thomas
- Dean van Leeuwen
- Deborah Nas
- Diana Renner
- Diego Gilardoni
- Dominic Sandbrook
- Dominik Boesl
- Dominique Strauss-Kahn
- Douglas Alexander
- Dr Christina Yan Zhang
- Dr. Lisa Sanders
- Eddie Obeng
- Ella Sy
- Elsa Sotiriadis
- Emily Maitlis
- Enrico Letta
- Fabrice Pothier
- Farid Tabarki
- Federica Mogherini
- Felix Oberholzer-Gee
- Francis Fukuyama
- Frank Gardner
- Frits van Paasschen
- Garry Golden
- Garry Kasparov
- Gavin Esler
- George Papandreou
- Gerard Lyons
- Gerd Leonhard
- Gonzalo Delacámara
- Gordon Hewitt
- Graeme Codrington
- Graeme Leach
- Greg Williams
- Guntram Wolff
- Guy Verhofstadt
- Haiyan Wang
- Hannah Fry
- Hans Diels
- Harold James
- Helen Czerski
- Henrik von Scheel
- Henry Coutinho-Mason
- Hollie McKay
- Howard Yu
- Hugo Dixon
- Ian Dunt
- Ian Goldin
- Ian Khan
- Inma Martinez
- Ivan Rogers
- J Bradford Delong
- Jaap De Hoop Scheffer
- Jacques Attali
- Jahkini Bisselink
- James Barrat
- James Henderson
- James Rubin
- James Woudhuysen
- Javier Solana
- Jean-Claude Trichet
- Jeff de Kleijn
- Jeffrey Pfeffer
- Jeffrey Sachs
- Jeremy Rifkin
- Jim Al-Khalili
- Jim Carroll
- Jim Hagemann Snabe
- Jim Harris
- Jim Rogers
- Jim Sciutto
- Johan Rockström
- John Kampfner
- John Simpson
- John Sitilides
- Jonathon Porritt
- Josef Joffe
- Joseph Stiglitz
- K D Adamson
- Kai Gondlach
- Kaihan Krippendorff
- Katherine Templar-Lewis
- Katie Hilborn
- Katja Schipperheijn
- Kemal Apaydin
- Kishore Mahbubani
- Kjell A. Nordstrom
- Klisman Murati
- Konstantin von Eggert
- Kumi Naidoo
- Levison Wood
- Lewis Dartnell
- Libby Jackson
- Liv Boeree
- Lord Kim Darroch
- Lt. General H.R. McMaster
- Lucas Papademos
- Lucy Bullivant
- Magnus Lindkvist
- Manuel Muñiz
- Marc Randolph
- Marcelo Carvalho
- Margaret Heffernan
- Mark Esposito
- Mark Greeven
- Mark Stevenson
- Mark van Rijmenam
- Matteo Renzi
- Max Tegmark
- Melissa Sterry
- Michael Arthur
- Michael G Jacobides
- Michael Raynor
- Michael Watkins
- Michio Kaku
- Mike Walsh
- Miriam Meckel
- Misha Glenny
- Neil Martin
- Nicholas Hopton
- Nick Ayton
- Nick Bostrom
- Nik Gowing
- Nikki Greenberg
- Nikolas Badminton
- Nina Khrushcheva
- Norbert Csizmadia
- Noreena Hertz
- Nouriel Roubini
- Oleg Konovalov
- Oliver Leisse
- Olivier Sibony
- Pankaj Ghemawat
- Parag Khanna
- Pedro Duque
- Pedro Moneo
- Peggy Liu
- Peter Cochrane
- Peter Diamandis
- Peter Fisk
- Peter Frankopan
- Peter Hinssen
- Peter Siljerud
- Phil Osborn
- Philippe Dewost
- Pippa Malmgren
- Raghuram Rajan
- Rain Newton-Smith
- Ram Charan
- Ramy Nassar
- Ray Kurzweil
- Richard N Haass
- Richard van Hooijdonk
- Rita McGrath
- Robert B Tucker
- Robert Cringely
- Robert Swan
- Robert Tercek
- Roger Spitz
- Rohit Bhargava
- Rohit Talwar
- Rory Cormac
- Rory Stewart
- Ruggero Schleicher-Tappeser
- Sabrina Faramarzi
- Salim Ismail
- Scott Amyx
- Scott Steinberg
- Sean Pillot de Chenecey
- Shlomo Ben-Ami
- Simon Johnson
- Simon Sinek
- Slawomir Sierakowski
- Stefan Hyttfors
- Stefan Löfven
- Stephane Garelli
- Stephanie Akkaoui Hughes
- Stephanie Flanders
- Stephen Attenborough
- Stephen S Roach
- Steve Faktor
- Steven Pinker
- Terence Mauri
- Thimon de Jong
- Thomas Sargent
- Tim Bouverie
- Tim Hames
- Timandra Harkness
- Tom Cheesewright
- Tom Solomon
- Udo Lielischkies
- Vaclav Klaus
- Vijay Govindarajan
- Vito Di Bari
- Vitor Constancio
- Wesley K. Clark
- Yasin Kasirga
- Yu Yongding
- Yuval Noah Harari
- Zanny Minton Beddoes