Scenario Planning & Strategic Foresight speakers
Speakers who help organisations anticipate uncertainty, stress-test assumptions and plan for multiple futures
Speakers Associates represents 257 speakers on Scenario Planning & Strategic Foresight, including Michael Beckley, Kemal Apaydin, Peter Fisk, Mark Stevenson, Olivier Sibony, Thimon de Jong, Lucy Bullivant, Rita McGrath, Katja Schipperheijn and Graeme Codrington.
Leaders are making strategic decisions based on assumptions about human behaviour that are already out of date. Trust has shifted structurally – away from institutions, toward the personal and the peer-based. Generational expectations have changed, technology is being adopted in ways organisations did not anticipate, and mental health is now a leadership variable, not an HR one. Most organisations are still using frameworks built for a world that preceded all of this.
When governments and central banks change policy, the people and institutions affected don’t sit still. They update their expectations, adjust their behaviour, and frequently neutralise the intended effect before it lands. Senior leaders who treat macroeconomic policy as a fixed external variable are making decisions on a premise that hasn’t been true since the 1970s.
Boards are being asked to make long-horizon calls on alliances, sanctions exposure and political risk with no recent precedent to lean on. Most analysis available to them is short-cycle and reactive. What they often lack is a serious historical reading of how leaders held coalitions together, or failed to, when the rules-based order last broke down.
Boards are being asked to take positions on China exposure, US political volatility and UK regulatory direction without the inside knowledge to do it well. The result is either over-cautious paralysis or strategic bets made on newspaper reading. What is missing is someone who has worked inside Westminster, Fleet Street and the City and can translate political signal into commercial decision.
Boards and executive teams now make decisions about AI, data, and digital infrastructure that touch every part of the business. The technical case is well rehearsed. The harder questions, what these systems do to customer trust, to employee agency, to the meaning of the work, get pushed to ethics committees or deferred indefinitely. Leaders need a way to think clearly about technology that is neither uncritical adoption nor reflexive fear.
Most leadership teams consume far more futures content than they can act on. The problem is not a shortage of prediction. It is the absence of a structured method for connecting macro change to the specific decisions an organisation is already under pressure to make. Without that connection, strategic planning is reactive, investment decisions trail the market, and the wrong questions dominate the board’s time.
Pandemic and emerging-infection risk has moved from a public-health concern to a recurring shock to operations, supply chains and workforce continuity. Most boards still treat it as a once-a-decade event rather than a standing exposure on the risk register. The capability gap is between the science of what is coming and the strategic decisions leaders have to make before it arrives.
Boards now treat Russia and the wider authoritarian bloc as a permanent feature of their risk register, not a passing event. The hard question is not what is happening, but what the regime is likely to do next, and on what timeline. Most strategic intelligence reaching senior leaders is filtered through analysts who have never lived under the system they are describing.
Every established organisation faces the same structural trap: the systems that make it excellent today are precisely what prevent it from building what it needs tomorrow. Budget cycles, governance structures, and talent incentives are designed to protect the core – not to fund the experiments that will eventually replace it. The problem is not a lack of innovation ambition; it is the absence of a working architecture that lets both agendas run simultaneously, with different logic, without one destroying the other.
Most leadership teams cannot tell which emerging technologies will reshape their business and which are noise. They commission AI pilots and IoT proofs of concept without a coherent picture of how the pieces fit together five years out. Every one of those decisions needs a long-range view, and most organisations do not have one.