Amy Webb

Strategy cycles run on three-year horizons. The technologies reshaping markets operate on ten-year ones. Without a methodology for reading early-stage signals, organisations discover the future after competitors have already acted on it.

Amy Webb is the founder of the Future Today Strategy Group and the researcher who turned strategic foresight into a quantitative discipline – giving organisations a rigorous, data-driven method for identifying which emerging technologies demand a response, and when.

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Why organisations work with Amy Webb

  • Webb’s foresight methodology is not scenario-planning by another name – it applies quantitative modelling to emerging signals, giving boards an evidential basis for long-horizon technology decisions that is defensible rather than intuitive.
  • Her annual Tech Trends Report tracks more than 700 emerging technology and science trends and is downloaded more than one million times a year; few advisory practices produce intelligence infrastructure at comparable scale or breadth.
  • The Big Nine named and defined the “G-MAFIA” framework – the six American and three Chinese corporations Webb argues hold structural control over AI’s trajectory. Audiences gain a durable analytical vocabulary for a problem most organisations are still describing in generic terms.
  • Her advisory relationships with the White House, European Union, United Nations, and World Economic Forum are ongoing, not project-based – her understanding of how governments are approaching AI governance and technology risk is primary source, not aggregated.
  • Her latest concept, “living intelligence” – the convergence of artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and advanced sensors into a single technology supercycle – gives senior leaders a framework for thinking beyond current AI strategy before the convergence forces reactive decisions.

Biography highlights

  • Founder and CEO, Future Today Strategy Group; ranked #3 most influential management thinker globally by Thinkers50 (2025)
  • Adjunct Professor of Strategic Foresight, NYU Stern School of Business; Visiting Fellow, Oxford University’s Saïd Business School; former Nieman Fellow, Harvard University
  • Author of The Big Nine (2019) – longlisted for the Financial Times & McKinsey Business Book of the Year, winner of the 2020 Gold Axiom Medal – and The Signals Are Talking (2016), winner of the Thinkers50 RADAR Award and 2017 Gold Axiom Medal
  • The Genesis Machine (2022, co-authored with Andrew Hessel) named by The New Yorker as one of the year’s best nonfiction works; books translated into 23 languages
  • Life member, Council on Foreign Relations; founding member, WEF Strategic Foresight Advisory Board; member, WEF Global Risks Board; AI Governance Alliance partner
  • Contributor to Harvard Business Review and MIT Sloan Management Review; TED Talk on algorithmic thinking viewed more than 8 million times, translated into 32 languages

Biography

The gap between sensing that a technology will reshape a sector and knowing when – and how – to act is where most long-range strategy breaks down. Amy Webb’s work is built around closing that gap. As founder and CEO of the Future Today Strategy Group, she pioneered a quantitative modelling approach to strategic foresight: one that applies the analytical rigour of economic forecasting to the identification of emerging technology signals, rather than relying on narrative scenarios or trend decks.

Her books have given organisations specific frameworks for understanding the structural dynamics of technology change. The Big Nine named the six American and three Chinese corporations – the “G-MAFIA” and BAT – that Webb argues hold disproportionate control over AI’s development, and traced the geopolitical and commercial consequences of that concentration. The Genesis Machine, co-authored with biotechnologist Andrew Hessel, examined the organisational and governance implications of synthetic biology before the technology entered mainstream strategy conversations. Both were recognised externally: The Big Nine was longlisted for the Financial Times and McKinsey Business Book of the Year; The Genesis Machine was named by The New Yorker as one of the year’s best nonfiction works.

Her access to the rooms where technology governance is being decided is direct and ongoing. As an advisor to the White House, European Union, and United Nations, and as a founding member of the World Economic Forum’s Strategic Foresight Advisory Board, Webb’s work informs global technology policy – not as periodic input but as sustained engagement. Her annual Tech Trends Report, tracking more than 700 emerging technology and science developments, is downloaded more than one million times a year.

Ranked third on Thinkers50’s 2025 list of the world’s most influential management thinkers, Webb teaches strategic foresight at NYU Stern’s MBA programme and holds a visiting fellowship at Oxford’s Saïd Business School. Her current framework, “living intelligence” – the convergence of artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and advanced sensors – maps the technology supercycle she argues is already underway. For organisations whose long-range strategy begins and ends with AI, it is a substantive challenge to the scope of their thinking.

Key speaking topics

  • Quantitative strategic foresight
  • Artificial intelligence and the global technology power landscape
  • Living intelligence: AI, biotechnology, and advanced sensors
  • Technology supercycles and long-horizon planning
  • Geopolitics of emerging technology
  • Futures methodology and organisational decision-making
  • Synthetic biology and the next frontier of disruption

Ideal for

  • C-suite and boards developing long-range technology and competitive strategy
  • Chief Strategy Officers and innovation leads rethinking their approach to uncertainty and futures planning
  • Government, regulatory, and policy audiences responsible for technology governance
  • Risk, investment, and scenario-planning teams assessing the strategic implications of AI and converging technologies

Audience outcomes

  • A clear analytical method for distinguishing which emerging technology signals warrant a strategic response – and which represent noise
  • Understanding of the “living intelligence” framework and why the convergence of AI, biotechnology, and advanced sensors represents a broader challenge than current AI strategy typically accounts for
  • A structural vocabulary for the global AI power landscape – particularly the dynamics between major US and Chinese technology actors – that simplifies a complex geopolitical issue for non-specialist leaders
  • Familiarity with the Tech Trends methodology: how to scan, filter, and prioritise signals across a large and rapidly evolving technology landscape
  • Practical frameworks for building a long-horizon foresight capability internally, rather than depending on periodic external consultancy

Talks

How to Think Like a Futurist

A strategic framework for leaders who must manage current operational demands while preparing for long-term technological disruption.

Key takeaways:

  • How to apply the core tools of quantitative foresight to organisational strategy, including signal identification and prioritisation
  • A structured approach to rethinking risk and recognising the thresholds at which action on emerging technologies becomes necessary
  • How technologies including AI, autonomous systems, and bioengineering are shaping near- and long-term scenarios across industries
What's on the Horizon for Artificial Intelligence?

A rigorous, data-driven examination of where AI development is heading – beyond the current generative AI cycle – and what it means for organisations building strategy around it.

Key takeaways:

  • The structural forces driving AI development, including the role of the major US and Chinese technology players identified in the “G-MAFIA” and BAT frameworks
  • What the near-term trajectory of large language models, AGI research, and autonomous systems means for competitive strategy
  • How to build organisational preparedness for AI milestones that are not yet visible in mainstream technology coverage
The Real Future of [X]

A custom presentation placing an organisation’s industry-specific technology trends within Webb’s broader long-range foresight framework, delivered in 5-, 10-, 15-, or 20-year scenario formats.

Key takeaways:

  • How emerging technologies relevant to the audience’s sector fit within larger convergence patterns, including the “living intelligence” supercycle
  • Scenario-based views of how industries from finance, healthcare, and media to energy, governance, and transportation may be reshaped
  • Specific signals to monitor and the decision thresholds at which strategic responses become necessary
The Future of Energy: Powering Intelligence in an AI-Driven World

An exploration of how the energy demands of AI infrastructure are reshaping geopolitics, industrial strategy, and the competitive landscape across sectors.

Key takeaways:

  • How the intersection of computation and energy supply is already determining which nations and organisations will lead in the AI era
  • The strategic implications for sectors from manufacturing and finance to agriculture and defence as AI energy consumption scales
  • What leaders need to understand – and act on now – to position their organisations in a world where intelligence itself runs on physical infrastructure

Videos

Testimonials

The Big Nine is provocative, readable, and relatable. Amy Webb demonstrates her extensive knowledge of the science driving AI and the geopolitical tensions that could result between the US and China in particular. She offers deep insights into how AI could reshape our economies and the current world order, and she details a plan to help humanity chart a better course.
Anja Manuel
Stanford University, co-founder and partner, RiceHadleyGates
The Big Nine makes bold predictions regarding the future of AI. But unlike many other prognosticators, Webb sets sensationalism aside in favor of careful arguments, deep historical context, and a frightening degree of plausibility.
Jonathan Zittrain
George Bemis Professor of International Law and professor of Computer Science, Harvard University
Webb's potential scenarios for specific futures are superb, providing detailed visions for society to avoid as well as achieve.
John C. Havens
Executive Director, IEEE Global Initiative on Ethics of Autonomous and Intelligent Systems
Once every three months, Amy walked into a room of Time Inc's top editors and told us about the future. These are among the most cynical, seen-it-all-before people in the media world but for two hours they sat spellbound as Amy told us what was coming around the bend, how it would affect us, and, most important, how we could capitalize on it. Nobody missed these sessions. Ever. An incredibly engaging and efficient speaker, Amy shares big ideas quickly and in a way that made sense to those of us who weren't digital first thinkers. I would walk out feeling like I did after my best college seminars: My brain sparked with new ideas, paradigm shifts, and opportunities.
Bill Shapiro
Director of Editorial and New Business Enterprises, Fast Company
Amy Webb's foresight in the technology space is both inspiring and extremely valuable for businesses. She distills complex concepts into relevant digestible tidbits that provide insight to subject matter experts and newbies alike. Beyond mere encyclopedic knowledge of digital products and services, Amy Webb's most valuable asset is her mystical awareness of which strategies and concepts are on the cusp of transforming consumer and enterprise life as we know it.
Bill McBain
Associate Director of Finance, Huge
The Big Nine is an important and intellectually crisp work that illuminates the promise and peril of AI. Will AI serve its three current American masters in Washington, Silicon Valley and Wall Street or will it serve the interests of the broader public? Will it concentrate or disperse economic and geopolitical power? We can thank Amy Webb for helping us understand the questions and how to arrive at answers that will better serve humanity than our current path. The Big Nine should be discussed in classrooms and boardrooms around the world.
Alec Ross
Author, The Industries of the Future
The Big Nine is thoughtful and provocative, taking the long view and most of all raising the right issues around AI and providing a road map for an optimistic future with AI.
Peter Schwartz
Senior Vice President, Salesforce.com, and author of The Art of the Long View
When you listen closely to Amy Webb, you hear how the future might unfold for us humans. It's worth listening. Amy's at the forefront of understanding how technology continues to permeate every aspect of our lives and how those interactions - with each other, with the world, with our things - inform what we care about and who or what we should follow and use and embrace. Nobody else is doing what the Future Today Institute does for brands. Amy and her team have both unusual discernment and healthy skepticism. What sets their work apart is how adeptly they use research, peppered with trademark humor and candor, to offer insights we can all use. Like right now. If you're looking for help solving the puzzle of what's next (and what to do about it), there's no better guide than Amy Webb.
Matt Mansfield
VP-Product Innovation, CQ Roll Call
What Amy Webb does better than anyone else: She stays on top of complex technical innovations, information and geek-speak and distills them into relatively simple concepts and practical applications. This last is particularly significant - Amy helps you grasp what the semantic web or mobile broadband, for example, mean to you and your world, why you should care, and how you can use it. I've seen her present several times in the past few years and each session has been forward-looking and highly relevant to media and tech professionals. She's a terrific communicator, direct, smart and honest.
Katharine Fong
Editor in Chief, California Educator

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